Yes, time frame TBD.

 

What mgmt needs is to get their heads out of their asses and realize that the 2 are because there isn't a 175 choice in that class.

RW needs to understand SJS is a real thing these days and they need to figure out how to increase throughput.

I, like a lot of people, are starting to get tired of mgmt seeing what the problem is with proof in the data and still doing nothing to correct it.

 

Are you changing your mind and not carrying the company's water anymore?

 

It's already been posted today that there are only 2 new hires for May. Where are those "even bigger numbers than April" that you were projecting?

 

As I've repeatedly stated (and have been mercilessly mauled for), there are many factors that will occur over time that makes both the upgrade and flow projections the shakiest of representations. We now see but one, but many others will also occur over the next months and years. The burst of last months flows is claimed to be both a domicile selection and aircraft issue and a likely a mixture of both. Since the April 175 batch will crawl through the training process over the next several months, they will logjam much of the interest in Envoy during that period and throw the required MONTHLY 35-40 new-hire flow-thru fuel out the side of the fueling nozzle and the new-hire deficit will grow exponentially.

It must be soberingly noted what the April and May descrepencies demonstrate regarding the ability to attract new-hires which prove that the biggest draws to Envoy are NOT the AA flow (or even pay/bonus), for if it was, pilots wouldn't care so much what aircraft or domicile they'd get as long as they got in the Envoy/AA conga line as soon as possible. Thus since the shaky flow isn't the main draw, the factors in play put Envoy between a rock and a hard place are the opposing dynamics that need to be eliminated to change Envoys future, which due to its existence almost certainly involves contraction which then only tightens the the flat spin as a smaller Envoy upgrades fewer and slower, which means the flow slows even more as Envoy has demonstrated it will not flow itself out of existence (even a little, i.e., the withheld 5 from March) for altruistic benefit to its present pilots.

 

Aside from our low pay, I think the word is out on how atrocious reserve is, especially if you're junior. So while tricky ricky thinks it's smart to prolong the reserve negotions and abuse the pilots so that some are getting as little as 7 days off at home all in the name of better performance, he's really just killing the recruitment. Tell me at what other company that at least values their pilots A LITTLE BIT, are they starting at 4am on day 1? If there's a potential one would have to commute, why the F would they come to envoy for that? Idiots.

Come here if you want to flow in the next 6 years or so, because I still do have a semblance of confidence of that working out. But besides that, your life will suck as a junior FO on reserve. At least as a junior CA you can put up with it because there's a light at the end of the tunnel and you're getting paid decently, but FO's? Ain't nobody got time for that!

 

I'm personally skeptical of the flows continuing in their current form going forward. There will be mergers.

 

Th next class was bigger until they found out no 175 positions were available so most of the guys scheduled for class denied it. They are waiting for 175 slots and losing seniority. Which is stupid. They were still offered DFW 145 if they wanted it, but they have SJS so bad they turned it down.

There is only 12 E175 FO slots open a month, the next class will offer 175 again. They have no issue filling 175 slots but can't just offer them to everyone all the time, obviously. We have other much larger fleets that need to be staffed as well.

Soon these guys will probably expect AA to give them 777 FO as new hires or they will deny it.

 

Very compelling statement.

 

Managements new estimates are now down to 200 flows from 360. It's my belief that we will be lucky to get 180. This shows the fragility of projections and that trust is still a major issue between envoy pilots and management.