Flow Negotiations
#61
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 543
Seems to me like a “plan for the worst” kind of scenario from management. They plan to hire to cover 20/mo leaving, just in case that’s what they are forced into.
#62
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2017
Position: CA
Posts: 147
That is not what I understood from the call. I understood that ENY is preparing to flow 20/mo, but that was based on the assumption that AA would hire 1000 next year. If AA only hires 600 (as they have publicly stated), it would be 13/mo.
Seems to me like a “plan for the worst” kind of scenario from management. They plan to hire to cover 20/mo leaving, just in case that’s what they are forced into.
Seems to me like a “plan for the worst” kind of scenario from management. They plan to hire to cover 20/mo leaving, just in case that’s what they are forced into.
#63
Missed the call, but the interesting tidbit in all that from my understanding is that it's 25% of all AA new hire training slots in that calendar year, not monthly like it used to be with prior groups (or formula, whichever is less, but the company can always send more per 15-01).
So they can absolutely flow 20/mo for a few months and see what happens later if they are so inclined.
So they can absolutely flow 20/mo for a few months and see what happens later if they are so inclined.
#64
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2017
Position: CA
Posts: 147
there is a literal equation. They will absolutely not flow more than they have to. It actually come out to 19.4 per month (hopefully they round up to 20, rather than down to 19) or 25% of AA new hires. So AA says they are going to hire 600 next year, that’s only 150 flows. Far different from 20/ month or 240/year. If AA decides to hire 4 people one year, we only flow 1
#65
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Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,510
ONE of the problems with the flow equation is that if AA hires MORE than 80 in a month, there is a loss for ENY because Mgt definitely won’t let more than 20 go in a month. If the equation is truly 25% of new hires for the YEAR but I don’t see how they can really do that. It has to be really per class or at worst per month. But again if you look at a monthly number, what if because of the dates/day of the week they start classes there are three classes in a month with 40 each? That would mean 120 one month and I just don’t see ENY letting an extra 10 pilots go, even if it averages out. Also if looking at it on a YEARLY percentage, what happens if for some reason the music stops again and they quit hiring? What if the total number of ENY pilots was greater than 25% because they flowed more than 25% in a class? Or worse if they were doing less than 25% because they were going to “make it up” at the end of the year??
#66
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,510
And I’m just throwing that out there, because, well, because it’s another chance for people who might be reading this to be reminded that the numbers just don’t work.
#67
ONE of the problems with the flow equation is that if AA hires MORE than 80 in a month, there is a loss for ENY because Mgt definitely won’t let more than 20 go in a month. If the equation is truly 25% of new hires for the YEAR but I don’t see how they can really do that. It has to be really per class or at worst per month. But again if you look at a monthly number, what if because of the dates/day of the week they start classes there are three classes in a month with 40 each? That would mean 120 one month and I just don’t see ENY letting an extra 10 pilots go, even if it averages out. Also if looking at it on a YEARLY percentage, what happens if for some reason the music stops again and they quit hiring? What if the total number of ENY pilots was greater than 25% because they flowed more than 25% in a class? Or worse if they were doing less than 25% because they were going to “make it up” at the end of the year??
With everyone hiring and the outside attrition numbers starting to look healthy, a real effort will need to happen to #MEGA
#68
In a land of unicorns
Joined APC: Apr 2014
Position: Whale FO
Posts: 6,401
Missed the call, but the interesting tidbit in all that from my understanding is that it's 25% of all AA new hire training slots in that calendar year, not monthly like it used to be with prior groups (or formula, whichever is less, but the company can always send more per 15-01).
So they can absolutely flow 20/mo for a few months and see what happens later if they are so inclined.
So they can absolutely flow 20/mo for a few months and see what happens later if they are so inclined.
If AA hires 0 in January, then Envoy flows 0. And if AA hires 60 in February, Envoy still only flows 15.
#69
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2017
Posts: 224
That is not what I understood from the call. I understood that ENY is preparing to flow 20/mo, but that was based on the assumption that AA would hire 1000 next year. If AA only hires 600 (as they have publicly stated), it would be 13/mo.
Seems to me like a “plan for the worst” kind of scenario from management. They plan to hire to cover 20/mo leaving, just in case that’s what they are forced into.
Seems to me like a “plan for the worst” kind of scenario from management. They plan to hire to cover 20/mo leaving, just in case that’s what they are forced into.
#70
How it gets applied is another question, but "in the calendar year" does not appear anywhere in the prior groups and I don't believe in accidental nature of any legal language.
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