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Old 11-06-2025 | 08:31 AM
  #2171  
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Originally Posted by Buck Rogers
So, I imagine when older pilots support age 67, you would call them greedy because their extra 2 years of, "work less make more" good fortune, would come at your expense....therefore they are GREEDY.

But when you want to work less and make more on the backs of the traveling public & the company....that is righteous?

I don't look gift horses in the mouth, by the same token, I don't actively wish for/root for ill will/hardships on others, so that I can reap unexpected windfalls. But, you do you
Yes, that is greedy, because it is a novel provision that knowingly has tangible negative consequences for other pilots.

Whereas the original intent of his post meant to maximize the pay:work ratio using status quo provisions (and no new parties are harmed nor helped).
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Old 11-06-2025 | 01:36 PM
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Mid bid out, pretty damn senior as expected with pent up upgrade demand.
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Old 11-06-2025 | 01:56 PM
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Originally Posted by Gone Flying
a 10% reduction (now 4%) over a random non holiday weekend in November won’t even be a blip on our long term radar. Crowd strike was an epic week long meltdown that started on one of the busiest travel days of the year, and we still made $5B last year.

no way this shutdown lasts another month let alone a year. I can’t even see it lasting through the weekend before thanksgiving. ATC just got their second $0.00 paycheck and I’m expecting this weekend to absolutely fall apart. Most Americans tolerance for an ideological crusade will vanish once they realize it might ruin their holiday plans. Hopefully the senate gets their head out of their @$$ and pays our ATC and TSA.
They held a vote in the Senate for bill solely to do just that. Only 3 democrats crossed over to vote for a bill just to pay military, ATC TSA and other critical fed gov workers. Fetterman, Osoff and Warnock were the cross overs.

Running the fed gov on CRs is bad policy. We need a budget.

Now on topic yeah the mid looks like some FOMO perhaps coming in the actual award.
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Old 11-06-2025 | 02:23 PM
  #2174  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
Yeah, 96 NB A's and 39 W A's is not nothing, especially if they actually backfill (despite the statement about base-swap only backfill). Given the drought in NB A's over the last 9 months, I suspect NB A will be solidly in the 70's%. WB A will be in line at 21-22%, or thereabouts. The fact that the positions are spread out amongst so many different BES will keep surprises to a minimum.

As expected, the Dec AE will be rather large by any comparison, especially on the NB B side for NH spots. That will be the one to watch, IMO.
Originally Posted by FangsF15
...
Or, were you asking about this particular AE? In which case my roulette chips are on 12000 WB B (BOS 330), and 13,000 NB A (SLC 220).
Mid Bid Nov AE
WB A 395X 22.9% (NYC 765, barely. SEA 330 very close)
WB B 126XX 73.3% (BOS 330 - big cluster in the 12's)
NB A 124XX 71.9% (SEA 220 - also a big cluster in the 12's)

Really, the only thing that went more senior was NB A. But I think everyone expected that to some degree. But if those %'s hold, it will be the first time in forever that NBA went senior to WB B, even though WB B is well within it's trending margin. Definitely an anomoly for NB A given the long drought.

Will be interesting to see if the general trend holds where the final is slightly senior to the mid bid.

Last edited by FangsF15; 11-06-2025 at 04:30 PM. Reason: Change SLC to SEA
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Old 11-06-2025 | 02:56 PM
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We’ll probably see 3 to 4 good size AEs then it will get slower in the spring into the summer.
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Old 11-06-2025 | 03:43 PM
  #2176  
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Originally Posted by DETSports
Mid bid out, pretty damn senior as expected with pent up upgrade demand.
Good! Get those senior NB Bs out of the way and bring on the movement for everybody behind them!
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Old 11-06-2025 | 03:47 PM
  #2177  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15
Mid Bid Nov AE
WB A 395X 22.9% (NYC 765, barely. SEA 330 very close)
WB B 126XX 73.3% (BOS 330 - big cluster in the 12's)
NB A 124XX 71.9% (SLC 220 - also a big cluster in the 12's)

Really, the only thing that went more senior was NB A. But I think everyone expected that to some degree. But if those %'s hold, it will be the first time in forever that NBA went senior to WB B, even though WB B is well within it's trending margin. Definitely an anomoly for NB A given the long drought.

Will be interesting to see if the general trend holds where the final is slightly senior to the mid bid.
SEA 220 you mean. SLC takes 10xxx to hold it looks like.
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Old 11-06-2025 | 04:23 PM
  #2178  
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Does curly or John do mock bid analysis?
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Old 11-06-2025 | 04:25 PM
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Originally Posted by CBreezy
Does curly or John do mock bid analysis?
yes, curly does. He usually updates it anywhere from a few mins to a day or 2.
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Old 11-06-2025 | 04:27 PM
  #2180  
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Originally Posted by CBreezy
Does curly or John do mock bid analysis?
I know Curly at widgetseniority.com does at least have a comparison after the final is out between the mock and the final, for what names were added or removed. So it would make sense if he showed something about the mock?
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