Search
Notices

Delta Hiring News

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 06-14-2013, 07:39 AM
  #381  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Aug 2010
Posts: 2,530
Default

Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
From a cursory check (there could be someone more junior somewhere), junior captain is is around 8150. Assuming 11000 pilots and no growth or shrinkage, that's about 2850 from the bottom. Thru Dec. 2020 we have 2327 age 65 retirements.

As an early 2014 hire and bidding captain at the first possible time in any base, you are probably looking at 2021-2023. So, at most around 9 possibly 10 years (if you assume 11500 pilots currently which is probably closer than 11000). As others said, probably NYC M88 or DTW 717 will be junior categories.

Denny
Assuming everyone retires at 65, which won't happen. Use 63 as an average and subtract 2 years from that. Add in just a little growth and you'll be looking at another 2 years or roughly 2017/18, IMO.
Columbia is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 03:06 PM
  #382  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jun 2010
Posts: 631
Default

Probably very few widebody FO's, 50% or better in category, will bid narrowbody reserve Capt. That might help the race to the left seat if that is the ultimate goal.

5-6 legs a day for narrowbody CA flying into the hubs...or 1 leg to (fill in blank) difference in pay is probably less than $1K a month
LandGreen2 is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 03:44 PM
  #383  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Denny Crane's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Sep 2008
Position: Kickin’ Back
Posts: 6,971
Default

Originally Posted by Columbia View Post
Assuming everyone retires at 65, which won't happen. Use 63 as an average and subtract 2 years from that. Add in just a little growth and you'll be looking at another 2 years or roughly 2017/18, IMO.
I won't disagree with that. I was just going strictly by the numbers....

Denny
Denny Crane is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 07:33 PM
  #384  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,522
Default

Originally Posted by Going2Baja View Post
A 6 yr upgrade? We're currently @ 15+. Things are going to turn around that quickly? I sure hope so.

When can I hold a senior ER line? 2025? I've slid back on EVERY AE since I started on the ER.

Baja.
15+ including 5 or so on furlough and 10 more of zero retirement stagnation. I think we will definately see 6 year upgrades, maybe a little less than that even. If 9-11 and age 65 didn't happen, we'd be seeing it years ago.
gloopy is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 07:35 PM
  #385  
Moderator
 
Joined APC: Oct 2006
Position: B757/767
Posts: 13,088
Default

Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
I won't disagree with that. I was just going strictly by the numbers....

Denny
Did you get reinstated?
johnso29 is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 07:35 PM
  #386  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,522
Default

Originally Posted by LandGreen2 View Post
Probably very few widebody FO's, 50% or better in category, will bid narrowbody reserve Capt. That might help the race to the left seat if that is the ultimate goal.

5-6 legs a day for narrowbody CA flying into the hubs...or 1 leg to (fill in blank) difference in pay is probably less than $1K a month
Not to mention that when there's hiring/advancement going on, guys bypass far more than when things are stagnant. When there's no movement we tend to grab whatever chairs we can. Hiring, significant retirements and even a little bit of growth will make magic happen. We may even see some pilots getting Captain seats "out of seniority"
gloopy is offline  
Old 06-14-2013, 07:52 PM
  #387  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2010
Position: NYC 320B
Posts: 271
Default

Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
Not to mention that when there's hiring/advancement going on, guys bypass far more than when things are stagnant. When there's no movement we tend to grab whatever chairs we can. Hiring, significant retirements and even a little bit of growth will make magic happen. We may even see some pilots getting Captain seats "out of seniority"
I think this will definately happen. Sr FOs lounging on wb's will get jumped by jr guys bidding nb capt seats. By the time these sr FOs upgrade to their wb capt seat, they will be in their mid-late 50s and relatively close to retirement. I think....
Avgwhitemale is offline  
Old 06-15-2013, 03:59 AM
  #388  
Gets Weekends Off
 
TANSTAAFL's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Still in one
Posts: 784
Default

Originally Posted by Avgwhitemale View Post
I think this will definately happen. Sr FOs lounging on wb's will get jumped by jr guys bidding nb capt seats. By the time these sr FOs upgrade to their wb capt seat, they will be in their mid-late 50s and relatively close to retirement. I think....
Many of those that will (and have been) jumped have no desire to fly domestic or have already flown NB Captain and are back on a WB right seat by choice for QOL. Good for them and those who want the first left seat they can get. Thankfully it's a big enough operation to accommodate almost everyone's personal situation and desires.
TANSTAAFL is offline  
Old 06-15-2013, 08:15 AM
  #389  
Can't abide NAI
 
Bucking Bar's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 11,989
Default

Anyone think this displacement bid has Delta set up to not hire until late 2014?
Bucking Bar is offline  
Old 06-15-2013, 08:50 AM
  #390  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Dec 2008
Posts: 272
Default

Originally Posted by Bucking Bar View Post
Anyone think this displacement bid has Delta set up to not hire until late 2014?
To me it is pretty clear that will be the case. Based on the following facts and rumors that always seem to turn into reality.

Possible delays in 717 deliveries (already slipping month or two for in-service dates according to crew resources)

Not filling all 717 vacancies on last bid and none on this bid.

Only 131 retirements between now and 31 Dec 2014

March predicted to be busiest month in 2014 domestically. Meaning they are currently manned for busiest month of year (July CR news letter)

March 2013 bid was supposed to be last displacement bid but they were wrong June AE was too. (July CR news letter)

Not back filling Capt position on June AE

This bid assured proper manning for peak flying of 2014 (July CR news letter)

Hiring is not authorized (July CR news letter)

We have a surplus of pilots system wide and we have to utilize our existing pilot staffing. (July CR news letter)

Domestic block hours continue to decline year over year (June CR news letter)




daldude is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Bucking Bar
Regional
181
07-28-2012 07:47 PM
FastDEW
Major
201
09-03-2011 06:42 AM
Quagmire
Major
253
04-16-2011 06:19 AM
Scoop
Mergers and Acquisitions
38
04-16-2008 07:13 AM
RockBottom
Major
0
09-15-2006 09:50 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices